Final Review

ECON 480 • Econometrics • Fall 2022

Dr. Ryan Safner
Associate Professor of Economics

safner@hood.edu
ryansafner/metricsF22
metricsF22.classes.ryansafner.com

Major Models & Extensions

  • Causality
    • Fundamental problem of causal inference, potential outcomes
    • DAGs, front-doors/back-doors, controlling
  • Multivariate OLS
    • Omitted Variable Bias
    • Variance/Multicollinearity

Major Models & Extensions

  • Categorical data
    • Interpreting dummies, group means
    • Using categorical variables as dummies
    • dummy variable trap
    • interaction effects
  • Nonlinear Models & Transforming Variables
    • quadratic model
    • higher-order polynomials
    • logs
    • standardizing variables
    • joint hypothesis (F-tests)

Major Models & Extensions

  • Panel data

    • pooled regression & problems
    • fixed effects
  • Difference-in-differences

  • Instrumental variables

Question 1

What are the two conditions for a variable Z to cause .shout[omitted variable bias] if it is left out of the regression?

Question 2

Wagesi=β0+β1Educationi+β2Agei+β3Experiencei+ui

Suppose Educationi and Agei are highly correlated

  • Does this bias ^β1 and ^β2?
  • What will happen to the variance of ^β1 and ^β2?
    • How can we measure this?

Question 3

Cholesteroli=β0+β1Treatedi+ui

  • Treatedi is a dummy variable ={1if person received treatment0if person did not receive treatment
  • What is ^β0?
  • What is ^β1?
  • What is the average cholesterol level for someone who recieved treatment?

Question 4

Yi=β0+β1Redi+β2Orangei+β3Yellowi+β4Greeni+β5Bluei

Suppose the color of observation i can be either {Red, Orange, Yellow, Green, Blue, Purple }

  • What is ^β0?
  • What is ^β1?
  • What is the average value of Yi for Green observations?
  • Why can’t we add β6Purplei?

Question 5

^Utilityi=β0+β1Eggsi+β2Breakfasti+β3(Eggsi×Breakfasti)

Breakfasti is a dummy variable ={1if meal i is breakfast0if meal i is not breakfast

  • What is ^β1?
  • What is ^β2?
  • What is ^β3?
  • We have two regressions (one for Breakfast; one for Not Breakfast)
    • how can we determine if the intercepts are different?
    • how can we determine if the slopes are different?

Question 6

^Utilityi=2+4 Ice Cream Conesi−1 Ice Cream Cones2i

  • What is the marginal effect of eating 1 more Ice Cream Cone?
  • What if we start with 1 Ice Cream Cone?
  • What if we start with 4 Ice Cream Cones?
  • What amount of ice cream cones will maximize utility?
  • How would we know if we should add Ice Cream Cones3i?

Question 7

ln(GDPi)=10+2 population (in billions)i

  • Interpret ^β1 in context.

ln(GDPi)=10+0.1ln(populationi)

  • Interpret ^β1 in context.

Question 8

  • Explain what an F-test is used for.
  • Explain how an F-statistic is estimated (roughly).

Question 9

Consider a two-way fixed effects model:

Divorce Rateit=β1Divorce Lawit+αi+θt+ϵit

for State i at time t

  • Why do we need αi and θt?
  • What sorts of things are in αi?
  • What sorts of things are in θt?

Question 10

Suppose Maryland passes a law (and other States do not) that affects crime rates. Consider the following model:

Crime Rateit=β0+β1Marylandi+β2Aftert+β3(Marylandi×Aftert)

for State i at time t

  • What must we assume about Maryland over time?
  • What is the average crime rate for other states before the law?
  • What is the average crime rate for Maryland after the law?
  • What is the causal effect of passing the law?

Question 12

  • What are the two conditions required for an instrument to be valid?
    • How is this different from the conditions for omitted variable bias?
  • How can we test each condition?
  • How do we run a two-stage least squares regression?

ECON 480 — Econometrics

1
Final Review ECON 480 • Econometrics • Fall 2022 Dr. Ryan Safner Associate Professor of Economics safner@hood.edu ryansafner/metricsF22 metricsF22.classes.ryansafner.com

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  • Title Slide
  • Major Models & Extensions
  • Major Models & Extensions
  • Major Models & Extensions
  • Question 1
  • Question 2
  • Question 3
  • Question 4
  • Question 5
  • Question 6
  • Question 7
  • Question 8
  • Question 9
  • Question 10
  • Question 12
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